Weather Predictions

Everybody gathering around to see if a rodent could possibly see it's own shadow has got to be one of the most boring weather predicting traditions on this here rock. Yesterday in Zurich an effigy of father winter was burned. The head loaded with explosives blew ten minutes twenty eight seconds in. I guess this is a good because the experts here say that means a nice summer for Zurich. Even though I don't buy into all this superstition, watching an effigy explode is much more interesting that watching a bunch of crazies in top-hats torture a rodent.

Luck does not exist.

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Luck does not exist.

When someone wins the lottery, it is probability. When you roll the dice, it is probability. When you get struck by lightning or not struck by lightning, it is all just probability. Some might say that luck exist and that luck is just anouther word for probability. I have a problem with this though. The word luck implies that there is not randomess to it, it implies that a person can possess randomness or probability. A person cannot have luck. This is not possible. They can only be the recipients of favorable probability.

And for those that you think are lucky, People can exist outside of the bell curve of probability, but not forever.

Not everything however is probability. Getting in a car accident or not getting in an accident, part probability, part driving skill. Winning a game of Euker (a card game) , is part probability and part skill. The sooner people figure this out the better their world will be. That is because probability can be calculated and luck cannot.

A case in point. If one thinks they need luck to win the lottery, they might buy a ticket, but if that person just looks at the probability of winning the lottery, they will save themselves some money.
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